Newslinks for Saturday 12th January 2019

Brexit 1) Grayling warns that failing to go away the EU would enhance extremists

“Britain will witness a surge in neo-Nazi extremist teams if MPs block or weaken Brexit, a Cabinet minister warns in the present day. Transport Secretary Chris Grayling mentioned the 17 million who voted to go away the EU would really feel ‘cheated’ by any strikes to water down Theresa May’s deal or thwart our exit completely. This would have grave implications for our democracy, he mentioned, ending centuries of reasonable politics….In a chilling intervention, Mr Grayling mentioned blocking Brexit might finish the 350 years of ‘reasonable’ politics Britain has loved for the reason that bloody English Civil War. Doing so would provoke extra ‘nasty’ incidents resembling this week’s ‘Nazi’ taunts at pro-Remain Tory MP Anna Soubry outdoors Parliament, he argued. It would additionally play into the palms of ‘disturbing’ extremists resembling ex-English Defence League chief Tommy Robinson, who has been tipped to take over UKIP.” – Daily Mail



Brexit 2) Grieve requires delay on Article 50

“Conservative insurgent Dominic Grieve has urged the prime minister to delay Brexit if her EU withdrawal deal is rejected by MPs subsequent week. Mr Grieve, who backs calls for one more referendum, mentioned she might take away the 29 March date from UK laws and ask the EU for extra time. Cabinet ministers who oppose leaving the EU with out a deal had a “responsibility to resign” if she refused to take action. Ministers warn the UK faces Brexit “paralysis” if the deal is rejected…He mentioned, if MPs reject the deal, the federal government ought to act instantly to strike the 29 March Brexit date from UK laws earlier than going to the EU to ask for an extension of the Article 50 course of.” – BBC

  • Plotters search Commons rout to kill deal for good – The Times
  • “People’s Vote” backers bide their time – The Guardian
  • Juncker plans alternate of letters “to assist May” – Financial Times

Brexit 3) Tory donors predict we are going to by no means depart

“Leading Conservative donors who spent tens of millions on the Brexit marketing campaign say they now consider that Britain could by no means depart the European Union in any respect. Crispin Odey, a hedge fund supervisor who has given greater than £870,00zero to pro-Leave teams, revealed yesterday that he was betting on the pound to strengthen after Brexit failed. “My view is that it ain’t going to occur,” Mr Odey mentioned. “I simply can’t see the way it occurs with that configuration of parliament.” Another two Tory donors, who between them gave £1.7 million to assist the marketing campaign to take Britain out of the EU, mentioned they too believed that the eventual deal wouldn’t characterize an actual Brexit. Jeremy Hosking, a fund supervisor who donated £1.69 million to the Brexit marketing campaign, mentioned he was apprehensive that the nation would find yourself with one thing that was “not a Brexit deal in any respect”, whereas Terence Mordaunt, who donated £50,00zero to the marketing campaign, mentioned he feared that “we could by no means get out.” – The Times

  • Hunt says Parliament might cease a “no deal” consequence – Daily Telegraph

Brexit 4) Oliver warns towards a second referendum

“Craig Oliver admits that he watched Channel 4’s drama Brexit: the Uncivil War by means of “splayed fingers”, with Rory Kinnear taking part in him as he fought unsuccessfully to win the referendum and maintain Britain within the European Union…Although Sir Craig nonetheless believes it’s a mistake for Britain to go away the EU, with a “heavy coronary heart” he says he wouldn’t advocate a second referendum. “I do suppose it might be unbelievably divisive. Rerunning the Leave marketing campaign is the simplest marketing campaign on the earth. It is ‘Tell them once more’ and ‘Can you consider the institution is so up themselves they suppose your views don’t matter in any respect’.”…Sir Craig now not works for Mr Cameron however talks to him recurrently. He insists that the previous prime minister nonetheless believes having a referendum on Britain’s relationship with Europe was the appropriate factor to do.” – The Times

Brexit 5) Forsyth: The deal could possibly be made even worse, to be able to win over Labour MPs

“May’s deal is flawed. How might it not be, given the ­failure to arrange correctly for No Deal, which has so weakened the UK’s negotiating place, and the lack of the Tory ­majority in Parliament which has hobbled Mrs May? But the fact is that if this deal doesn’t cross, Brexit will solely be weakened. The Government doesn’t need No Deal and doesn’t suppose it might get it by means of this ­Parliament even when it did.That means it should soften the deal to attempt to get Commons assist for it. The hazard for Brexiteers is that voting towards this deal might make it worse, not higher.” – James Forsyth, The Sun

  • Further concessions could be insane – Leader, The Sun 
  • Parliament should supply another – Leader, Financial Times

Brexit 6) Parris: May’s “half-in, half-out” association simply provides to the poison

“I’ve been dispirited in current days to learn colleagues within the press, and listen to pals within the Commons chamber, slipping into defeatist speak simply as we method a closing fence which it lies inside our energy to clear. Too many who ought to know higher, who see all too clearly the absurdity of shifting from being a member of the EU to being a satellite tv for pc of the EU, however who’ve been scared by nonsense about “no-deal”, are wriggling away from the one rational response to the place we’re in January 2019. The response is that we should attempt to cease Brexit. They speak as a substitute about discovering a compromise, a solution to carry our legislators and our nation “collectively” this 12 months, a solution to “heal wounds” and finish the political civil struggle. Heal wounds? Come collectively? End the civil struggle? This 12 months? Substitute “this decade” and it nonetheless defies probability.” – Matthew Parris, The Times

Brexit 7) Moore: Only the PM – whether or not it’s May or Corbyn – can cease us from leaving

“We maintain being advised that Parliament is “overwhelmingly towards” a no-deal Brexit. It could also be so, however we nonetheless have no idea the way it proposes to overwhelm it. If MPs refuse to honour the referendum end result, they need to agree amongst themselves a method that truly prevents Britain leaving. The precise proposal have to be smoked out. One clear solution to cease Mrs May, in fact, is to defeat her in a vote of confidence within the House. But that solely stops Brexit if the subsequent Prime Minister agrees to take action. In yet one more curiously boring speech this week, Jeremy Corbyn has rigorously prevented committing himself. The method the regulation stands, it could possibly be Brexit with Mrs May or Brexit with Jeremy Corbyn, however it might nonetheless be Brexit.” – Charles Moore, Daily Telegraph

Stewart: Scrap jail sentences of below six months

“Jail sentences below six months needs to be scrapped for many crimes as a result of they’re “too brief to heal” offenders, says the prisons’ minister Rory Stewart. Burglars and almost all shoplifters could be amongst as much as 30,00zero offenders a 12 months who could be spared jail if the change is enacted. Only offenders convicted of violence or intercourse crimes could be excluded. In an interview with Saturday’s Daily Telegraph journal, Mr Stewart mentioned the Ministry of Justice was “trying very rigorously” at imposing a brand new authorized presumption on English and Welsh courts towards sentences below six months – and probably longer.” – Daily Telegraph

  • More youngsters despatched to referral models the place gang leaders can goal them – The Times

Crosby “faces axe” as Tory election guru

“The Conservative celebration is getting ready to distance itself from the Australian strategist Sir Lynton Crosby, who masterminded David Cameron’s 2015 election victory however didn’t repeat the trick for Theresa May. James Cleverly, the Conservative Party’s deputy chairman, mentioned {that a} overview of final 12 months’s snap election had highlighted the weaknesses of bringing in outdoors consultants to run normal election campaigns for the celebration. He added that the Tories had been build up their very own in-house campaigning crew as a substitute, to make them much less reliant on exterior consultants which they believed could be a simpler solution to win elections in the long run.” – The Times

Wright needs restrictions on bank card playing

“The Culture Secretary in the present day warns bookies and banks to crack down on bank card playing or face seeing it banned. Jeremy Wright will name in trade leaders for a dressing down subsequent week.It comes forward of a significant Gambling Commission overview subsequent month on whether or not utilizing bank cards to make on-line deposits deepens debt and addictions. Mr Wright mentioned final evening: “Protecting folks from the dangers of playing associated hurt is important and all companies with connections to playing – be that bookmakers, social media platforms or banks – have to be socially accountable.” – The Sun

Major welcomes Universal Credit adjustments

“Sir John Major, one of the vital vehement Conservative critics of common credit score, has backed Amber Rudd’s adjustments to the welfare coverage however warned they don’t go far sufficient. Yesterday Ms Rudd, who was made work and pensions secretary in November, introduced a set of reforms, saying the system was not as “efficient” or “compassionate” as she needed. Sir John advised The Times: “I welcome Amber Rudd’s measured method to reforming this profit. Her newest adjustments — particularly ending the retrospective penalty for households with greater than two youngsters — are very welcome. More incremental adjustments are nonetheless needed and it’s extra vital to get these proper than to hurry them by means of.” – The Times

>Yesterday: Gareth Streeter on Comment: Three facts which suggest a rise in food bank use is not just down to Universal Credit

Javid boasts of improve in cease and search

“Sajid Javid has opened up a brand new rift with Theresa May by suggesting her landmark coverage of proscribing cease and search powers was accountable for an increase in crime. In a dialogue in regards to the alarming improve in violent assaults in Britain, the Home Secretary advised a non-public assembly of Tory MPs on Wednesday evening: “Sadly, we’ve seen a drop in cease and search.” He then boasted of how its use was rising once more below his watch…Since he started to loosen guidelines on cease and search final 12 months, the variety of knife assaults on children has dramatically lowered. Met Police chief Cressida Dick mentioned knife assaults on under-25’s went down 31 per cent throughout the three months between September and the top of November, with 176 fewer stabbing victims in comparison with the identical interval final 12 months.” – The Sun

Brokenshire challenges Legal Aid funds for fugitive

“Speedboat killer Jack Shepherd ought to have his authorized assist reduce off till he returns to face justice, a Cabinet minister mentioned final evening. James Brokenshire mentioned it was ‘astonishing’ that fugitive Shepherd is receiving authorized assist to be able to lodge an attraction towards a six-year sentence for killing 24-year-old Charlotte Brown. The Housing Secretary’s dramatic intervention comes a day after Theresa May advised the runaway to present himself as much as police and referred to as the case ‘surprising’.” – Daily Mail

SNP “break up by persona cults”

“The SNP is embroiled in a struggle between two persona cults that’s jeopardising the celebration’s grip on energy, its former deputy chief has warned after a senior MP appeared to again Alex Salmond’s return as chief. Jim Sillars advised the Telegraph that the celebration was paying a “excessive worth” for permitting Mr Salmond then Nicola Sturgeon to dominate the highest of the celebration with little exterior enter besides from a small “fan membership” of advisers. He mentioned a cult of persona had been allowed to kind round every, with the 2 camps now at loggerheads over Ms Sturgeon’s dealing with of the sexual misconduct claims towards Mr Salmond.” – Daily Telegraph

News in short

  • Why is the Brexit Deal so unpopular? – Stephen Fisher and Tim Bale, What UK thinks
  • Has Speaker Bercow outstayed his welcome? – Isabel Hardman, The Spectator
  • Universal Credit can nonetheless be a game-changing coverage – Patrick Spencer, CapX
  • Brexit can solely take off on world commerce phrases – Ian Herbert, Brexit Central
  • Tories draw up a contingency plan to combat the Euro Elections – Alex Wickham, Buzzfeed 

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